Oil & Gas FEED Estimates: What to Check Before You Commit

Two project professionals reviewing refinery layout drawings and a FEED cost estimate

Before approving FEED funding or EPC investment, check what the estimate actually covers. This owner-side guide connects scope maturity, quantity evidence, pricing assumptions and risk exposure to a clear, recorded approval decision.

Construction Cost Estimate Accuracy by Project Stage

Construction estimator comparing cost information across project design stages

Construction cost estimate accuracy changes because the information behind the estimate changes. Early in a project, the team may only have a business objective, a site, an approximate capacity, and a few benchmark assumptions. By tender stage, the team should have drawings, specifications, scope definition, quantities, commercial assumptions, and a clearer procurement route. The problem is not that early estimates are useless. The problem is treating them as if they carry tender-level certainty. For owners, the useful question is not "Is this number accurate?" It is: "What decision can this estimate safely support, and what uncertainty still sits behind it?" Recognised estimating guidance points in the same direction. AACE International describes estimate classification as a way to connect estimate purpose, methodology, and project definition maturity. RICS NRM 1 gives a structured approach to order of cost estimating and cost planning for capital building works. The CIOB Code of Estimating Practice describes estimating as a systematic process, not a single number produced in isolation. That is the practical lens this article uses. Estimate confidence improves when scope maturity, measurement detail, pricing evidence, risk review, and reconciliation improve together. Why Estimate Accuracy Changes A cost estimate is only as strong as its inputs. At the start of a project, the estimator may not know the final layout, structural system, equipment specification, ground conditions, utility requirements, construction sequence, procurement route, or market timing. Those unknowns do not disappear because a spreadsheet produces a clean total. As design develops, more of the estimate can move from broad assumptions to measured quantities and project-specific pricing. The estimator can test the design against previous projects, current market rates, supplier input, preliminaries, logistics, escalation, risk allowances, and owner requirements. This is why a mature estimate should show more than a bottom-line cost. It should show: the basis of estimate the level of design information used inclusions and exclusions assumptions and qualifications measurement basis pricing source risk and contingency logic reconciliation against previous estimates the decision the estimate is intended to support Without those items, the owner may see a number but not understand the confidence behind it. Feasibility Estimate: Is the Investment Worth Testing? A feasibility estimate helps an owner decide whether the project is worth further development. It usually comes before detailed design. The information may include project objectives, approximate size, location, capacity, high-level scope, site constraints, and benchmark data from similar work. At this stage, the estimate should not pretend to be a procurement number. It is a business decision tool. A useful feasibility estimate helps answer questions such as: Does the project sit within a realistic funding range? Which scope options are likely to drive cost? Is the preferred site commercially viable? What major risks need investigation before design money is spent? What budget range should be carried into the next stage? The strongest feasibility estimate is transparent about uncertainty. It should identify the main cost drivers rather than hiding them inside a single total. For example, ground risk, import materials, long-lead equipment, temporary works, abnormal logistics, and authority requirements may all affect the early cost range. If the feasibility estimate is used correctly, it prevents false confidence. It gives the owner a commercial frame for the next decision: continue, pause, change the scope, or test alternatives. Concept Estimate: Is the Design Direction Commercially Sensible? Once the project has a concept design, the estimate can become more specific. The team may now have early drawings, outline specifications, massing, functional areas, major systems, and a clearer view of the project requirements. The estimator can start replacing some benchmark assumptions with project-specific allowances. Areas, major quantities, system choices, site conditions, and procurement assumptions can be tested more directly. This stage is where cost planning starts to protect the design. A concept estimate should make trade-offs visible. If the design direction requires a more complex structure, longer construction duration, higher-specification finishes, or heavier MEP systems, the owner should see the cost effect early enough to respond. The estimate should also be reconciled against the feasibility estimate. Reconciliation is not admin. It is where the team explains why the cost moved. Typical reconciliation questions include: Did the scope increase? Did the specification change? Did quantities become clearer? Did market rates move? Did the team identify a risk that was previously missing? Did an allowance become too low once the design was better understood? When this reconciliation is skipped, the owner only sees cost drift. When it is done properly, the owner sees the reason for the movement and can decide what to do. Developed Design Cost Plan: Is the Budget Still Controlled? By developed design, the estimate should be more structured. The design information is stronger, specifications are clearer, and quantities can be measured with more discipline. The estimator can test the project against a cost plan rather than only a high-level benchmark. This is where a quantity surveyor becomes especially useful. The QS can break the cost into meaningful packages, measure work items, review scope completeness, challenge missing allowances, and compare the current design against the approved budget. At this stage, the cost plan should help the owner control decisions before tender. It should show whether the design is still aligned with the budget, where pressure is building, and which design choices need commercial review. A developed design cost plan should usually cover: construction works by element or package preliminaries and time-related costs provisional sums or undefined work design development allowances escalation or market movement assumptions contingency and risk allowances exclusions and owner-supplied items taxes, duties, permits, and project-specific commercial assumptions where applicable The estimate is still not a guarantee. But it should now be strong enough to guide active budget management. If the owner waits until tender to find out the design is unaffordable, the project has already lost time and negotiating position. Pre-Tender Estimate: Is the Tender Baseline Defensible? The pre-tender estimate should be the most disciplined estimate before the market is formally tested. By this point, the team should have coordinated drawings, specifications,

Construction Progress Claims: How Quantity Surveyors Value Work

Quantity surveyor measuring completed construction work for a progress claim

Construction progress claims are contractor requests for payment, not proof that the full amount is due. Before an owner releases funds, the QS must test the claimed value against the contract, the valuation cut-off, the work completed, and the evidence available. The quantity surveyor checks the cumulative value of eligible work and materials, applies the required adjustments, and gives the certifier a traceable basis for the amount recommended. This protects cash flow without paying ahead of verified progress. Valuation rules are not universal. Submission dates, measurement methods, retention, stored materials, variations, taxes, notices, and certification authority depend on the executed contract and applicable law. Therefore, the project team should confirm those requirements before the QS assesses any claim. Start with the contract and the valuation cut-off The first question is not “What percentage complete is the project?” It is “What does this contract allow at this cut-off?” The payment provisions should identify the format, dates, notices, supporting records, and person authorised to assess or certify payment. In practice, the cut-off creates a clean boundary. Work completed or materials delivered after it normally belong in the next assessment. An invoice dated before cut-off does not prove that the related work was complete. RICS practice information on interim valuations and payment treats valuation and payment as contractual processes. It also describes an interim valuation as a revaluation of the work to date, not only the latest month. This lets the QS correct earlier estimates and reconcile amounts already certified. As a result, a complete submission should show the valuation summary, detailed breakdown, previous certificates, variations, materials, retention, taxes, and net claim. Whatever the required form, another reviewer should be able to reproduce the calculation. Build an evidence trail before measuring value A construction payment valuation cannot rely on the claim spreadsheet alone. The QS should compare it with drawings, the bill or schedule of values, instructions, inspection and test records, delivery documents, photographs, and a site inspection close to cut-off. Accordingly, site evidence should show location, quantity, status, and date. Photographs should identify the work and area; delivery notes should match materials physically present and intended for the project. The QS should record incomplete, defective, rejected, or inaccessible work rather than treat it as complete. Claim component Evidence to check QS assessment Owner question Installed work Site measure, drawings, inspection and test records, dated photographs Quantity completed and eligible at cut-off Is the claimed work physically complete and compliant? Stored materials Delivery records, invoices, ownership, identification, storage and insurance evidence Eligibility and value under the contract Are the materials protected and secured for this project? Preliminaries Agreed pricing breakdown, mobilisation records, programme and site resources Fixed and time-related value earned Does the value follow actual entitlement, not a flat percentage? Variations Instruction, scope record, measurement, rate build-up and approval status Value permitted at the current status Is any unapproved exposure being presented as agreed? Deductions Retention rules, prior certificates, advance recovery and other contract adjustments Correct cumulative deduction Can every deduction be traced to the contract? Measure completed work on the agreed basis Work progress measurement converts physical completion into contract value. A remeasurement contract may use completed quantities and bill rates. A lump-sum or milestone contract may use a schedule of values, activity breakdown, or milestone criteria. The contract determines the method. Percentage complete should rest on observable quantities or defined criteria. However, programme progress, labour hours, and spending can explain status, but none automatically equals value earned. Testing, documentation, incomplete interfaces, and other contract requirements may produce a different payment value. The QS should measure cumulatively and deduct the amount previously certified. This separates value earned to date from the current payment and exposes duplicated quantities, front-loading, and earlier valuation errors. The project team should handle work that does not meet the requirements under the contract’s valuation and certification provisions. The record should identify the item, location, evidence, claimed value, assessed value, and adjustment reason. An unexplained lump-sum deduction is difficult to review and likely to cause dispute. Test stored materials and preliminaries separately Materials on and off site Stored materials are not automatically payable. However, the contract may require delivery to site, proof of ownership, project identification, protection, insurance, invoices, or evidence that title will pass on payment. The contract may also exclude off-site materials unless it specifically lists or secures them through additional controls. RICS interim valuation guidance advises checking whether the contract permits materials and what prerequisites apply. It treats materials as a separate valuation component that must be checked against the project’s contract requirements. Therefore, the owner should ask whether project records identify the material, link it to the project, and prove its value, ownership, and protection. Duplicate payment, damage, and diversion risks also need control. Preliminaries Meanwhile, preliminaries need their own assessment. Mobilisation, permits, bonds, temporary facilities, supervision, utilities, and demobilisation do not earn value in the same way. The QS may value fixed items when completed and time-related items against the period provided, subject to the contract. A blanket construction percentage can overpay early or understate extended costs later. The QS should separate fixed, time-related, and performance-dependent value. Apply retention, variations, and taxes without hiding the bridge After establishing the gross valuation, the QS applies the contract adjustments. The payment bridge should show work, materials, preliminaries, variations, retention, advance recovery, previous certificates, taxes, and the resulting recommendation. Retention must follow the project’s rate, cap, exclusions, and release rules. Tax basis, rate, invoice requirements, and inclusive or exclusive presentation should be confirmed against the contract and project tax advice. Neither treatment should be copied from another project. Finally, separate variations by status. The QS may assess an instructed change while its final price remains under review, but an unsupported proposal may not qualify. The QS should separate entitlement from valuation, use the contract’s rate hierarchy, and prevent double counting against original scope. This is part of the wider post-contract quantity surveying function, where payment, change, forecast, and final-account records stay aligned. Turn the claim

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